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Post by Tankdriver on Mar 24, 2023 15:55:36 GMT -5
Can Anaheim make up 6 points? Haven't checked their schedule and if the my have games against the other bottom feeders.
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Post by Disgruntled70sHab on Mar 24, 2023 21:01:18 GMT -5
That's the best-case scenario, of course, picking 1-2. I'm fiddling with tankathon and it's surprising how many different results are possible. I'm most intrigued by winning first with Florida's pick, then with ours, giving us 2-3, which I didn't realize was possible. I never used the reset button until I saw someone on u tube do it The only concern I have with "Tankathon" is that it never accepts the status quo ... I use the reset button before pushing the "sim lottery" button every time and not, once, has the program retained its original order ... it always moved a few teams around every time I've used it ... other than that, it's a fun tool to use ... had Montreal picking 1st and 2nd on at least one occasion, so if you use it often enough, yada,yada,yada ... Cheers. |
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Post by habsorbed on Mar 25, 2023 10:46:59 GMT -5
Can Anaheim make up 6 points? Haven't checked their schedule and if the my have games against the other bottom feeders. Ducks only have 3 games left against lesser teams (Blues, Yotes, Canucks) but hopefully can play spoiler against some better teams. My general rule of thumb is that you still got a chance if the amount of points you trail a team is the same as the number of games you have left. As we win the tie breaker, Ducks need 7 points to get ahead of us in 10 games so they are still in it, but just barely. Even if we lose our remaining 10 games, Ducks would have to win 3 and tie one of their remaining 10 which would be playing almost .400 hockey, about what they have been playing all season so far. So I'm saying there's a chance. Well, Ducks are now 10 points behind us with 8 games left. No way they will catch us. They would have to win 5 of 8 and we would have to lose all of our remaining 8. Not going to happen. Must make sure we finish behind Ariz and Flyers to ge t5ht worst. Don't think we can catch Flyers as they have 2 point lead and 2 games in hand. If we lose to Flyers tomorrow, then that will do it. Then it's just a matter of out losing the Yotes. |
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Post by Andrew on Apr 3, 2023 14:50:26 GMT -5
With 5 games to go things are solidifying in the standings. It's looking like we'll finish in the 5th or 6th spot from the bottom. On the pessimistic (and realistic) side I could see us picking at #7, passing Arizona and then losing a spot in the draft, being leapfrogged in the lottery. On the optimistic side we finish 5th to bottom, and either hold our spot or move up.
I wonder if Michkov will slide to the 5-7 range. Scouts will take him top 3 all day long, but owners and GMs might have reservations.
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Post by Willie Dog on Apr 3, 2023 17:03:34 GMT -5
I'm just pissed how crappy the isles and pens are playing, what a bunch of clowns... the panthers should be out of the wild card race but the pumpkin heads on those teams couldn't do it...
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Post by habsorbed on Apr 3, 2023 17:21:05 GMT -5
Big game tomorrow between Fla and Buff. A Buff win and Buff is right in it and Fla slips further behind Pens and NYI. A Fla win and that'll pretty well do it for Buff and tighten the collar around Pens and NYI. This is going down to the wire.
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Post by Tankdriver on Apr 3, 2023 20:46:24 GMT -5
I am wondering if the yotes can win any of the 3 games against Seattle out of the 5 remaining they have. I don't have a good feeling against Detroit.
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Post by habsorbed on Apr 4, 2023 2:48:58 GMT -5
On paper, Habs and Yotes should not win another game. Which works well by me and we get 5th overall. However, things happen. The biggest concern is when the opponent decides the game is meaningless and rest players or doesn't put in an effort. In this regard , 3 of our last 4 games are against Caps, Leafs and Bruins who all know their fate and positioning for playoffs and will mail it in. Our only hope is that our line up is so depleted, that we can't compete. Good news is Phx has games against Ducks and Canucks who may not really care and Phx may get a win. As well Seattle is pretty close to locking into the first overall wild card spot so their final game against Phx will be meaningless. It's going to be interesting but I fear Habs may get more points than Phx these next 2 weeks and we end up in 6th.
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Post by Willie Dog on Apr 4, 2023 7:25:32 GMT -5
On paper, Habs and Yotes should not win another game. Which works well by me and we get 5th overall. However, things happen. The biggest concern is when the opponent decides the game is meaningless and rest players or doesn't put in an effort. In this regard , 3 of our last 4 games are against Caps, Leafs and Bruins who all know their fate and positioning for playoffs and will mail it in. Our only hope is that our line up is so depleted, that we can't compete. Good news is Phx has games against Ducks and Canucks who may not really care and Phx may get a win. As well Seattle is pretty close to locking into the first overall wild card spot so their final game against Phx will be meaningless. It's going to be interesting but I fear Habs may get more points than Phx these next 2 weeks and we end up in 6th. I think the caps will work to help Ovie get more goals, against the Habs lineup it shouldn't be difficult |
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Post by Cranky on Apr 4, 2023 16:40:56 GMT -5
The bigger question is...would you trade Bedard for a kings ransom?
I was looking at Sabres line-up and frankly, if they want to depart with Cozens, Dahlen, Tuch and Luukkonen I would look at that.
Add Dubois and it makes us contenders, if not instant, then a few years. Think the Lindros trade and how the Avalanche became contenders after that trade.
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Post by habsorbed on Apr 5, 2023 1:49:03 GMT -5
Big game tomorrow between Fla and Buff. A Buff win and Buff is right in it and Fla slips further behind Pens and NYI. A Fla win and that'll pretty well do it for Buff and tighten the collar around Pens and NYI. This is going down to the wire. Well, this was not a good night for the Fla pick. Fla wins andPens and NYI lose. Fla is now in the driver's seat, in control of their own destiny. Hard to believe they won't make the playoffs given over the past few months they have a far better record than Pens or NYI. Fla has a marginally tougher schedule as they play against against 2 playoff teams to close out the season: TO and Canes. Problem is those two teams will not likely have anything to play for so may mail it in. At this point the best we can hope for from Fla pick is 14 to 19th overall pick - most likely closer to 19th. Not bad for Chariot, but not where we thought we might be picking a month ago. |
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Post by Willie Dog on Apr 5, 2023 8:20:42 GMT -5
I hope both the pens and isles don't make the playoffs because they are useless...
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Post by NWTHabsFan on Apr 5, 2023 11:15:45 GMT -5
I hope both the pens and isles don't make the playoffs because they are useless... They sure don’t deserve playoff spots the way they have played down the stretch. |
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Post by seventeen on Apr 5, 2023 13:06:24 GMT -5
Big game tomorrow between Fla and Buff. A Buff win and Buff is right in it and Fla slips further behind Pens and NYI. A Fla win and that'll pretty well do it for Buff and tighten the collar around Pens and NYI. This is going down to the wire. Well, this was not a good night for the Fla pick. Fla wins andPens and NYI lose. Fla is now in the driver's seat, in control of their own destiny. Hard to believe they won't make the playoffs given over the past few months they have a far better record than Pens or NYI. Fla has a marginally tougher schedule as they play against against 2 playoff teams to close out the season: TO and Canes. Problem is those two teams will not likely have anything to play for so may mail it in. At this point the best we can hope for from Fla pick is 14 to 19th overall pick - most likely closer to 19th. Not bad for Chariot, but not where we thought we might be picking a month ago. All goaltending. Lyon is playing like he's prime Hasek. Completely unsustainable, but for 10 games or so?…. |
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Post by CentreHice on Apr 5, 2023 13:50:10 GMT -5
We'd be in prime Bedard territory had our 2A and 2B goalies not had their flashes of game-stealing brilliance.
I can think of at least 5 such games. 10 fewer pts. puts us at 56.
Average goalies are gonna shine sometimes, I suppose. I recall feeling good for them--as the season also had its share of embarrassments.
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Post by Willie Dog on Apr 5, 2023 14:48:55 GMT -5
We'd be in prime Bedard territory had our 2A and 2B goalies not had their flashes of game-stealing brilliance. I can think of at least 5 such games. 10 fewer pts. puts us at 56. Average goalies are gonna shine sometimes, I suppose. I recall feeling good for them--as the season also had its share of embarrassments. What about the laval callups scoring goals? |
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Post by habsorbed on Apr 6, 2023 1:31:29 GMT -5
We'd be in prime Bedard territory had our 2A and 2B goalies not had their flashes of game-stealing brilliance. I can think of at least 5 such games. 10 fewer pts. puts us at 56. Average goalies are gonna shine sometimes, I suppose. I recall feeling good for them--as the season also had its share of embarrassments. What about the laval callups scoring goals? Gotta say that if you told me in October that we would have had all these injuries, many to key players (Cole, Dach, Monahan), I would have been certain we were in bottom three. But some of the dark horses stepped up, unfortunately. But if Guhle, HP, Xman, and Monty are legit then I don't mind dropping to 5th (or 6th  ) |
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Post by seventeen on Apr 6, 2023 16:38:17 GMT -5
We'd be in prime Bedard territory had our 2A and 2B goalies not had their flashes of game-stealing brilliance. I can think of at least 5 such games. 10 fewer pts. puts us at 56. Average goalies are gonna shine sometimes, I suppose. I recall feeling good for them--as the season also had its share of embarrassments. To our detriment, Alex freaking Lyon is having himself a stretch to boost the Panthers. A$$hole. Ooops, bad language. |
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Post by Disgruntled70sHab on Apr 6, 2023 18:23:57 GMT -5
That's the best-case scenario, of course, picking 1-2. I'm fiddling with tankathon and it's surprising how many different results are possible. I'm most intrigued by winning first with Florida's pick, then with ours, giving us 2-3, which I didn't realize was possible. I never used the reset button until I saw someone on u tube do it And, just as soon as I say that I've never seen the program keep the same original order, it happens three times last week ... just did it again a few minutes ago for the first time in a while, and the Habs moved up to #2 ... dare to dream ... Cheers. |
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Post by Willie Dog on Apr 6, 2023 18:35:13 GMT -5
I never used the reset button until I saw someone on u tube do it And, just as soon as I say that I've never seen the program keep the same original order, it happens three times last week ... just did it again a few minutes ago for the first time in a while, and the Habs moved up to #2 ... dare to dream ... Cheers. One time I had the panthers at #1 and the habs #2... I almost cried. |
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Post by habsorbed on Apr 8, 2023 13:06:24 GMT -5
I'm coming to terms with finishing 6th worst, ahead of Phx. but will really pissed if we overtake Flyers. Would fall from 7.5% chance to 6% for Bedard and one further place in picks. We can only afford one more win.
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Post by seventeen on Apr 8, 2023 13:30:14 GMT -5
Panthers have a gimme vs Caps today. Pens leading Wings 3-1 late in 2nd. Hopefully they've found their legs again. they need to keep winning and at some point Lyon has to run out of magic mushrooms.
I had to chuckle at the pundits talking about Florida's 5 game winning streak and the players who have 'upped' their game. Not one has mentioned that a career back up goalie is the single reason for 4 of the 5 wins (excepting that stupid 7-1 blowout on Ottawa. WTF happened to the Sens?).
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Post by jkr on Apr 8, 2023 14:00:01 GMT -5
Panthers have a gimme vs Caps today. Pens leading Wings 3-1 late in 2nd. Hopefully they've found their legs again. they need to keep winning and at some point Lyon has to run out of magic mushrooms. I had to chuckle at the pundits talking about Florida's 5 game winning streak and the players who have 'upped' their game. Not one has mentioned that a career back up goalie is the single reason for 4 of the 5 wins (excepting that stupid 7-1 blowout on Ottawa. WTF happened to the Sens?). Now 4-1 Pitt as Crosby scores. Third point today and 1500th of his career. If they hang on they leapfrog Florida and the Isles & push NY out of a wild card spot. |
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Post by NWTHabsFan on Apr 8, 2023 14:53:17 GMT -5
And BUF beat the Canes. Good day so far. Huge game later in the Mullet (and the one in TO too I guess 😝).
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Post by seventeen on Apr 8, 2023 15:50:06 GMT -5
I sure hope the Caps are big on getting Ovie as many goals as he can today. I won't be disappointed if he scores 5 on Florida.
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Post by folatre on Apr 8, 2023 17:56:56 GMT -5
It will be interesting to see if Toronto and/or Carolina are resting key guys when they play Florida next week. I always thought that once you get down the last game, most coaches want to the starting goalie and the regular lineup in there so as to not have too many days of rust before the puck drop on the playoffs.
The Islanders and Penguins have it rather easy in the remaining games, so maybe the Panthers blow it.
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Post by NWTHabsFan on Apr 8, 2023 18:47:21 GMT -5
It will be interesting to see if Toronto and/or Carolina are resting key guys when they play Florida next week. I always thought that once you get down the last game, most coaches want to the starting goalie and the regular lineup in there so as to not have too many days of rust before the puck drop on the playoffs. The Islanders and Penguins have it rather easy in the remaining games, so maybe the Panthers blow it. That’s all we can hope for. The Washington game is the “easy” one for Florida. |
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Post by NWTHabsFan on Apr 8, 2023 20:50:31 GMT -5
Looks like a Florida win with a last minute goal. Sucks. Good news is PIT and shortly NYI will win and keep pace.
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Post by habsorbed on Apr 9, 2023 1:34:57 GMT -5
Well, the Yotes gm must being cursing his team. They have 5th overall pick locked up and they score with 25 seconds in the game against the Ducks to tie it up and then win in OT. Now Habs just have to make sure we do not win either of the remaining 2 games!
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Post by Tankdriver on Apr 9, 2023 5:42:09 GMT -5
Must lose the next 2 but Marty was pretty p.o'd after the game so figure the effort will be there against the isles's.
Please hockey gods let us win the rights to Bedard.
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